Why does the model favor NYY?

Highest brain prob on slate (88%). Clean favored play at reasonable -126 price.

What could go wrong with the NYY pick?

Judge-less NYY lineup, CLE home crowd advantage.

Is the New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians prediction a guarantee?

No. Predictions are probabilistic and are not guarantees. Odds can move at any time. Bet responsibly. 21+ only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Free Model Pick · MLB

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

Q: Who will win New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians today?

The Supreme Brain model favors NYY on the moneyline for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians at a 88.0% probability. The free public moneyline pick for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians is NYY. This is the strongest free signal for this game right now; the rest of the board is available with a free sign-up.

Q: What is today's free pick for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians?

The free public pick is NYY (Moneyline) at -126. Yankees took Guardians last night, 7-5. NYY pitching matchup edge vs CLE. Brain win prob 88%. Even without Judge, NYY lineup deep enough to win at -126 odds.

Who will win New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians today?

Updated Jun 9, 2026 · 22:51 UTC First pitch 22:40 UTC Status Powered By Supreme Brain · editorially reviewed

By BookieSlip Models · methodology & sources

— Free model pick

NYY -126

Yankees took Guardians last night, 7-5. NYY pitching matchup edge vs CLE. Brain win prob 88%. Even without Judge, NYY lineup deep enough to win at -126 odds.

Model win probability

0.0%

Market-implied (-126) 55.8%

NYY

New York Yankees

Away

CLE

Cleveland Guardians

Home

Pick parameters

MarketMoneyline

ConfidenceSTRONG

Projected edge+5.0pp

47.0%last 90d · n=500-15.4uROI 90d

01 The simple version

Yankees took Guardians last night, 7-5. NYY pitching matchup edge vs CLE. Brain win prob 88%. Even without Judge, NYY lineup deep enough to win at -126 odds.

Moneyline · STRONG · edge clamped to MLB

This is a public free pick, not a guarantee. Read the risk section below before acting on it. Odds can move at any time.

↗

Why the model favors it

Highest brain prob on slate (88%).
Clean favored play at reasonable -126 price.

◎

What the model saw

Probable starters: Gerrit Cole (away) vs Slade Cecconi (home).
Starting lineups were confirmed before generation.

What could go wrong

Judge-less NYY lineup, CLE home crowd advantage.

01b How this pick was made

The Supreme Brain is a 56-module prediction engine running on five years of SportsDataIO history. Every stat below traces back to a verified source row, and the thesis passes 11 pre-publish safety gates before it ships.

02 Where the edge comes from

Model vs. market

The model’s win probability against the probability implied by the current price.

Model probability 88.0%

Market-implied (-126) 55.8%

Model’s projected edge

+5.0pp

Edge is clamped to the MLB ceiling. Probabilistic, not a guarantee.

03 Evidence the model leans on

Key signals

The public signals the model relied on most — surfaced honestly, gaps included.

Key Signals

PickLearningCase.pre_game_thesis_json.key_signals

These are the public signals the model relied on most when ranking this pick.

Strong

Starting Pitchers

Game.probable_*_pitcher

Probable starters are set: Gerrit Cole for the visitors and Slade Cecconi for the home side.

Helpful

Lineups

Game.lineup_confirmed_at

Starting lineups were confirmed before this page was generated, which lowers late-scratch risk.

Helpful

Weather

Game.weather_*

No weather signal was attached to this game at generation time.

Missing

Simulator

Game.simulation_unavailable_reason

No simulator output is available for this game right now. Reason: simulator inputs missing: park_factor. SEO page will surface this honestly instead of faking a probability. The thesis leans on the inline model probability instead.

Missing

04 Risk summary

What could go wrong

⚠

A late scratch can flip this pick

These are the things that could break the pick:

PickLearningCase.risk_signals + PickHistory.the_risk

05 Locked — unlock with a free sign-up

The rest of today’s board

🔒

MLB · SF

WSH @ SF · moneyline at -110

🔒

MLB · TEX

TEX @ KC · moneyline at -124

🔒

MLB · NYM

STL @ NYM · moneyline at -132

🔒

MLB · BAL

SEA @ BAL · moneyline at -128

Supreme Brain track record on this product · click to expand

Performance windows

last 30d231-261-8 (47.0% · -15.4% ROI · -77.0u, n=500)

last 90d231-261-8 (47.0% · -15.4% ROI · -77.0u, n=500)

all time231-261-8 (47.0% · -15.4% ROI · -77.0u, n=500)

Numbers update after every settled slate. Past performance does not predict future results — bet responsibly.