New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians
Who will win New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians today?
The model favors NYY (moneyline) for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians, currently priced at -134.
The model favors NYY (moneyline) for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians, currently priced at -134.
This is a public free pick, not a guarantee. Read the risk section below before acting on it. Odds can move at any time.
Why the model favors it
- New York Yankees is 39-26 (0.600).
- The model rates this pick at a 57.3% probability.
What the model saw
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What could go wrong
- CLE key absences: Gabriel Arias (SS, Out, 5.0pt impact); Emmanuel Clase (RP, Out, 5.0pt impact); Erik Sabrowski.
- Cleveland Guardians is 37-31 (0.544).
- Yankees face their own ~20.0pt injury swing with Aaron Judge, Max Fried, and Tyler Lyons sidelined.
- Lineups were not confirmed when this page generated, so a late scratch could change the picture.
The Supreme Brain is a 56-module prediction engine running on five years of SportsDataIO history. Every stat below traces back to a verified source row, and the thesis passes 11 pre-publish safety gates before it ships.
Model vs. market
The model’s win probability against the probability implied by the current price.
Edge is clamped to the MLB ceiling. Probabilistic, not a guarantee.
Key signals
The public signals the model relied on most — surfaced honestly, gaps included.
What could go wrong
A late scratch can flip this pick
These are the things that could break the pick:
The rest of today’s board
MLB · UNDER 8.5
SEA @ BAL · total at -110
MLB · SF
WSH @ SF · moneyline at -115
MLB · TEX
TEX @ KC · moneyline at -123
MLB · NYM
STL @ NYM · moneyline at -128