BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-07-27
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
BAL logo
BAL
BAL
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
DET logo
DET
DET
The Pick
BAL
Moneyline · +100
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+5.0pp
Model Win
52.5%
Fair Odds
-110
Kelly Stake
0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 52.5%
Market Implied 50.0%
+5.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing BAL at +100 (50.0% implied), we think they win 52.5% of the time.
Our Model
52.5%
win probability · fair odds -110
The Book
50.0%
implied · current odds +100

The Matchup

BAL logo BAL Stat DET DET logo
— Odds +100
47.5% Model Win % 52.5%
— Edge +5.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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