BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-08-22
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
CHC logo
CHC
CHC
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
SEA logo
SEA
SEA
The Pick
CHC +1.5
Spread · -205
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+3.0pp
Model Win
70.2%
Fair Odds
-236
Kelly Stake
0.1u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 70.2%
Market Implied 67.2%
+3.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing CHC +1.5 at -205 (67.2% implied), we think they win 70.2% of the time.
Our Model
70.2%
win probability · fair odds -236
The Book
67.2%
implied · current odds -205

The Matchup

CHC logo CHC Stat SEA SEA logo
Odds -205
29.8% Model Win % 70.2%
Edge +3.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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