BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-08-04
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
DET logo
DET
DET
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
SEA logo
SEA
SEA
The Pick
DET
Moneyline · +107
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+5.0pp
Model Win
50.7%
Fair Odds
-103
Kelly Stake
0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 50.7%
Market Implied 48.3%
+5.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing DET at +107 (48.3% implied), we think they win 50.7% of the time.
Our Model
50.7%
win probability · fair odds -103
The Book
48.3%
implied · current odds +107

The Matchup

DET logo DET Stat SEA SEA logo
— Odds +107
49.3% Model Win % 50.7%
— Edge +5.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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