BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-08-05
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
DET logo
DET
DET
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
SEA logo
SEA
SEA
The Pick
DET
Moneyline · +133
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+4.9pp
Model Win
45.0%
Fair Odds
+122
Kelly Stake
0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 45.0%
Market Implied 42.9%
+4.9pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing DET at +133 (42.9% implied), we think they win 45.0% of the time.
Our Model
45.0%
win probability · fair odds +122
The Book
42.9%
implied · current odds +133

The Matchup

DET logo DET Stat SEA SEA logo
Odds +133
55.0% Model Win % 45.0%
Edge +4.9pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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