BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-08-11
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
KC logo
KC
KC
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
LAD logo
LAD
LAD
The Pick
LAD
Moneyline · -260
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+5.0pp
Model Win
75.8%
Fair Odds
-313
Kelly Stake
0.1u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 75.8%
Market Implied 72.2%
+5.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing LAD at -260 (72.2% implied), we think they win 75.8% of the time.
Our Model
75.8%
win probability · fair odds -313
The Book
72.2%
implied · current odds -260

The Matchup

KC logo KC Stat LAD LAD logo
Odds -260
24.2% Model Win % 75.8%
Edge +5.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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