BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-08-13
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
MIL logo
MIL
MIL
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
LAD logo
LAD
LAD
The Pick
MIL +1.5
Spread · -170
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+0.6pp
Model Win
63.5%
Fair Odds
-174
Kelly Stake
0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 63.5%
Market Implied 63.0%
+0.6pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing MIL +1.5 at -170 (63.0% implied), we think they win 63.5% of the time.
Our Model
63.5%
win probability · fair odds -174
The Book
63.0%
implied · current odds -170

The Matchup

MIL logo MIL Stat LAD LAD logo
— Odds -170
36.5% Model Win % 63.5%
— Edge +0.6pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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