Will NYM +1.5 beat CLE tonight?

Our Supreme Brain assigns NYM +1.5 a 68.4% win probability against CLE in this MLB matchup at -187.

What is the expected value on NYM +1.5 -187?

Based on the 68.4% model probability vs the 65.2% market-implied probability, this bet carries a +5.0pp edge.

How does BookieSlip generate MLB picks?

Our Supreme Brain runs 56 intelligence modules against five years of SportsDataIO data. Every statistic is sourced and attributed; no number can appear without provenance.

NYM +1.5 vs CLE

NYM

Tonight 7:00 PM ET

CLE

The Pick

NYM +1.5

Spread · -187

Confidence

STRONG

Edge

+5.0pp

Model Win

68.4%

Fair Odds

-216

Kelly Stake

0.1u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 68.4%

Market Implied 65.2%

+5.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing NYM +1.5 at -187 (65.2% implied), we think they win 68.4% of the time.

NYM	Stat	CLE
—	Odds	-187
31.6%	Model Win %	68.4%
—	Edge	+5.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

✓

Supreme Brain assigns NYM +1.5 a 68.4% win probability — that is +5.0pp above the market's 65.2% implied probability.

SupremeBrain
✓

Strong runline dog on chalky CLE.

SupremeBrain
⚠

-187 juice — 1-run losses kill.

SupremeBrain

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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The Edge, Visualized

The Matchup

Anatomy of the Pick

Why we like it

How this loses