Will NYY -1.5 beat NYY@TB tonight?

Our Supreme Brain assigns NYY -1.5 a 40.1% win probability against NYY@TB in this MLB matchup at -110.

What is the expected value on NYY -1.5 -110?

Based on the 40.1% model probability vs the 52.4% market-implied probability, this bet carries a +-23.5pp edge.

How does BookieSlip generate MLB picks?

Our Supreme Brain runs 56 intelligence modules against five years of SportsDataIO data. Every statistic is sourced and attributed; no number can appear without provenance.

NYY -1.5 vs NYY@TB

NYY

NYY@TB

Tonight 7:00 PM ET

-1.

NYY -1.5

The Pick

NYY -1.5

Spread · -110

Confidence

LEAN

Edge

+-23.5pp

Model Win

40.1%

Fair Odds

+150

Kelly Stake

0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 40.1%

Market Implied 52.4%

+-23.5pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing NYY -1.5 at -110 (52.4% implied), we think they win 40.1% of the time.

NYY	Stat	-1.
—	Odds	-110
59.9%	Model Win %	40.1%
—	Edge	+-23.5pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

✓

Supreme Brain assigns NYY -1.5 a 40.1% win probability — that is +-23.5pp above the market's 52.4% implied probability.

SupremeBrain

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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The Edge, Visualized

The Matchup

Anatomy of the Pick

Why we like it

How this loses