Will NYY beat NYY@TB tonight?

Our Supreme Brain assigns NYY a 54.2% win probability against NYY@TB in this MLB matchup at -123.

What is the expected value on NYY -123?

Based on the 54.2% model probability vs the 55.2% market-implied probability, this bet carries a +-1.7pp edge.

How does BookieSlip generate MLB picks?

Our Supreme Brain runs 56 intelligence modules against five years of SportsDataIO data. Every statistic is sourced and attributed; no number can appear without provenance.

NYY vs NYY@TB

NYY

NYY@TB

Tonight 7:00 PM ET

NYY

The Pick

NYY

Moneyline · -123

Confidence

LEAN

Edge

+-1.7pp

Model Win

54.2%

Fair Odds

-118

Kelly Stake

0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 54.2%

Market Implied 55.2%

+-1.7pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing NYY at -123 (55.2% implied), we think they win 54.2% of the time.

NYY	Stat	NYY
—	Odds	-123
45.8%	Model Win %	54.2%
—	Edge	+-1.7pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

✓

Supreme Brain assigns NYY a 54.2% win probability — that is +-1.7pp above the market's 55.2% implied probability.

SupremeBrain

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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The Edge, Visualized

The Matchup

Anatomy of the Pick

Why we like it

How this loses