BookieSlip
Updated MLB · 2026-07-26
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
SEA logo
SEA
SEA
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
TEX logo
TEX
TEX
The Pick
Under 7.0
Total · +101
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+4.9pp
Model Win
52.2%
Fair Odds
-109
Kelly Stake
0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 52.2%
Market Implied 49.8%
+4.9pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing Under 7.0 at +101 (49.8% implied), we think they win 52.2% of the time.
Our Model
52.2%
win probability · fair odds -109
The Book
49.8%
implied · current odds +101

The Matchup

SEA logo SEA Stat TEX TEX logo
— Odds +101
47.8% Model Win % 52.2%
— Edge +4.9pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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