Will WSH beat PHI tonight?

Our Supreme Brain assigns WSH a 44.5% win probability against PHI in this MLB matchup at +136.

What is the expected value on WSH +136?

Based on the 44.5% model probability vs the 42.4% market-implied probability, this bet carries a +5.0pp edge.

How does BookieSlip generate MLB picks?

Our Supreme Brain runs 56 intelligence modules against five years of SportsDataIO data. Every statistic is sourced and attributed; no number can appear without provenance.

WSH vs PHI

WSH

Tonight 7:00 PM ET

PHI

The Pick

WSH

Moneyline · +136

Confidence

STRONG

Edge

+5.0pp

Model Win

44.5%

Fair Odds

+125

Kelly Stake

0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 44.5%

Market Implied 42.4%

+5.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing WSH at +136 (42.4% implied), we think they win 44.5% of the time.

WSH	Stat	PHI
—	Odds	+136
55.5%	Model Win %	44.5%
—	Edge	+5.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

✓

Supreme Brain assigns WSH a 44.5% win probability — that is +5.0pp above the market's 42.4% implied probability.

SupremeBrain
✓

Best edge on the board tonight — plus-money divisional road dog.

SupremeBrain
⚠

PHI home fav for a reason.

SupremeBrain

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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The Edge, Visualized

The Matchup

Anatomy of the Pick

Why we like it

How this loses