The Slip
Updated NBA · 2026-11-05
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
CHA logo
CHA
CHA
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
BKN logo
BKN
BKN
The Pick
CHA
Moneyline · -166
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+0.0pp
Model Win
62.4%
Fair Odds
-166
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 62.4%
Market Implied 62.4%
+0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing CHA at -166 (62.4% implied), we think they win 62.4% of the time.
Our Model
62.4%
win probability · fair odds -166
The Book
62.4%
implied · current odds -166

The Matchup

CHA logo CHA Stat BKN BKN logo
— Odds -166
37.6% Model Win % 62.4%
— Edge +0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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