BookieSlip
Updated NBA · 2026-10-11
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
CHI logo
CHI
CHI
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
DEN logo
DEN
DEN
The Pick
DEN
Moneyline · -320
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+0.0pp
Model Win
76.2%
Fair Odds
-320
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 76.2%
Market Implied 76.2%
+0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing DEN at -320 (76.2% implied), we think they win 76.2% of the time.
Our Model
76.2%
win probability · fair odds -320
The Book
76.2%
implied · current odds -320

The Matchup

CHI logo CHI Stat DEN DEN logo
— Odds -320
23.8% Model Win % 76.2%
— Edge +0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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