Will POR -13.5 beat GS tonight?

Our Supreme Brain assigns POR -13.5 a 54.8% win probability against GS in this NBA matchup at -112.

What is the expected value on POR -13.5 -112?

Based on the 54.8% model probability vs the 52.8% market-implied probability, this bet carries a +3.8pp edge.

How does BookieSlip generate NBA picks?

Our Supreme Brain runs 56 intelligence modules against five years of SportsDataIO data. Every statistic is sourced and attributed; no number can appear without provenance.

POR -13.5 vs GS

Tonight 7:00 PM ET

POR

The Pick

POR -13.5

Moneyline · -112

Confidence

STRONG

Edge

+3.8pp

Model Win

54.8%

Fair Odds

-121

Kelly Stake

0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 54.8%

Market Implied 52.8%

+3.8pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing POR -13.5 at -112 (52.8% implied), we think they win 54.8% of the time.

GS	Stat	POR
—	Odds	-112
45.2%	Model Win %	54.8%
—	Edge	+3.8pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

✓

Supreme Brain assigns POR -13.5 a 54.8% win probability — that is +3.8pp above the market's 52.8% implied probability.

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✓

GS key absences: Jimmy Butler III (PF, Out, 5.

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✓

0pt impact); Moses Moody (SG, Out, 5.

SupremeBrain
✓

0pt swing ||| Golden State Warriors season: pace 99.

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⚠

Even verified edges fade against variance — stake responsibly and trust the math, not the streak.

SupremeBrain

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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The Edge, Visualized

The Matchup

Anatomy of the Pick

Why we like it

How this loses