BookieSlip
Updated NBA · 2026-10-06
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
LAL logo
LAL
LAL
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
GS logo
GS
GS
The Pick
Under 220.5
Total · -110
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+8.0pp
Model Win
56.6%
Fair Odds
-130
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 56.6%
Market Implied 52.4%
+8.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing Under 220.5 at -110 (52.4% implied), we think they win 56.6% of the time.
Our Model
56.6%
win probability · fair odds -130
The Book
52.4%
implied · current odds -110

The Matchup

LAL logo LAL Stat GS GS logo
— Odds -110
43.4% Model Win % 56.6%
— Edge +8.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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