BookieSlip
Updated NFL · 2026-10-11
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
CHI logo
CHI
CHI
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
GB logo
GB
GB
The Pick
GB
Moneyline · +105
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+0.0pp
Model Win
46.6%
Fair Odds
+115
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 46.6%
Market Implied 48.8%
+0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing GB at +105 (48.8% implied), we think they win 46.6% of the time.
Our Model
46.6%
win probability · fair odds +115
The Book
48.8%
implied · current odds +105

The Matchup

CHI logo CHI Stat GB GB logo
— Odds +105
53.4% Model Win % 46.6%
— Edge +0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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