BookieSlip
Updated NFL · 2026-10-11
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
NYG logo
NYG
NYG
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
WAS logo
WAS
WAS
The Pick
WAS
Moneyline · -190
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+0.0pp
Model Win
62.8%
Fair Odds
-169
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 62.8%
Market Implied 65.5%
+0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing WAS at -190 (65.5% implied), we think they win 62.8% of the time.
Our Model
62.8%
win probability · fair odds -169
The Book
65.5%
implied · current odds -190

The Matchup

NYG logo NYG Stat WAS WAS logo
— Odds -190
37.2% Model Win % 62.8%
— Edge +0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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