Will PIT beat CLE tonight?

Our Supreme Brain assigns PIT a 55.6% win probability against CLE in this NFL matchup at -148.

What is the expected value on PIT -148?

Based on the 55.6% model probability vs the 59.7% market-implied probability, this bet carries a +-4.0pp edge.

How does BookieSlip generate NFL picks?

Our Supreme Brain runs 56 intelligence modules against five years of SportsDataIO data. Every statistic is sourced and attributed; no number can appear without provenance.

PIT vs CLE

PIT

Tonight 7:00 PM ET

CLE

The Pick

PIT

Moneyline · -148

Confidence

LEAN

Edge

+-4.0pp

Model Win

55.6%

Fair Odds

-125

Kelly Stake

1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 55.6%

Market Implied 59.7%

+-4.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing PIT at -148 (59.7% implied), we think they win 55.6% of the time.

PIT	Stat	CLE
—	Odds	-148
44.4%	Model Win %	55.6%
—	Edge	+-4.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

✓

Supreme Brain assigns PIT a 55.6% win probability — that is +-4.0pp above the market's 59.7% implied probability.

SupremeBrain
✓

POTD: PIT ML -148 — machine P(win) 0.

SupremeBrain
✓

556, game rank 1 of 2; own QB HEALTHY_LISTED (Aaron Rodgers); opponent QB HEALTHY_LISTED.

SupremeBrain
✓

POTD: PIT ML -148 — machine P(win) 0.

SupremeBrain
⚠

PIT is priced -148, which needs 59.

SupremeBrain

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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The Edge, Visualized

The Matchup

Anatomy of the Pick

Why we like it

How this loses