BookieSlip
Updated NFL · 2026-10-04
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
SEA logo
SEA
SEA
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
LAC +7.0 logo
+7.
LAC +7.0
The Pick
LAC +7.0
Spread · -105
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+-0.0pp
Model Win
51.2%
Fair Odds
-105
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 51.2%
Market Implied 51.2%
+-0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing LAC +7.0 at -105 (51.2% implied), we think they win 51.2% of the time.
Our Model
51.2%
win probability · fair odds -105
The Book
51.2%
implied · current odds -105

The Matchup

SEA logo SEA Stat +7. LAC +7.0 logo
— Odds -105
48.8% Model Win % 51.2%
— Edge +-0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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