BookieSlip
Updated NHL · 2026-10-02
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
ANA logo
ANA
ANA
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
VEG logo
VEG
VEG
The Pick
ANA +1.5
Moneyline · -138
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+4.5pp
Model Win
60.6%
Fair Odds
-154
Kelly Stake
0.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 60.6%
Market Implied 58.0%
+4.5pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing ANA +1.5 at -138 (58.0% implied), we think they win 60.6% of the time.
Our Model
60.6%
win probability · fair odds -154
The Book
58.0%
implied · current odds -138

The Matchup

ANA logo ANA Stat VEG VEG logo
— Odds -138
39.4% Model Win % 60.6%
— Edge +4.5pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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