BookieSlip
Updated NHL · 2026-10-08
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
DAL logo
DAL
DAL
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
BUF logo
BUF
BUF
The Pick
BUF
Moneyline · +100
Confidence
STRONG
Edge
+0.0pp
Model Win
47.8%
Fair Odds
+109
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 47.8%
Market Implied 50.0%
+0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing BUF at +100 (50.0% implied), we think they win 47.8% of the time.
Our Model
47.8%
win probability · fair odds +109
The Book
50.0%
implied · current odds +100

The Matchup

DAL logo DAL Stat BUF BUF logo
— Odds +100
52.2% Model Win % 47.8%
— Edge +0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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