BookieSlip
Updated NHL · 2026-10-07
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
EDM logo
EDM
EDM
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
ANA logo
ANA
ANA
The Pick
ANA
Moneyline · +112
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+3.9pp
Model Win
49.0%
Fair Odds
+104
Kelly Stake
0.1u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 49.0%
Market Implied 47.2%
+3.9pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing ANA at +112 (47.2% implied), we think they win 49.0% of the time.
Our Model
49.0%
win probability · fair odds +104
The Book
47.2%
implied · current odds +112

The Matchup

EDM logo EDM Stat ANA ANA logo
— Odds +112
51.0% Model Win % 49.0%
— Edge +3.9pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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