BookieSlip
Updated NHL · 2026-10-06
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
FLA logo
FLA
FLA
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
LA logo
LA
LA
The Pick
FLA
Moneyline · -118
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+8.0pp
Model Win
58.5%
Fair Odds
-141
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 58.5%
Market Implied 54.1%
+8.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing FLA at -118 (54.1% implied), we think they win 58.5% of the time.
Our Model
58.5%
win probability · fair odds -141
The Book
54.1%
implied · current odds -118

The Matchup

FLA logo FLA Stat LA LA logo
— Odds -118
41.5% Model Win % 58.5%
— Edge +8.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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