BookieSlip
Updated NHL · 2026-10-06
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
OTT logo
OTT
OTT
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
DET logo
DET
DET
The Pick
OTT
Moneyline · -102
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+8.0pp
Model Win
54.5%
Fair Odds
-120
Kelly Stake
0.1u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 54.5%
Market Implied 50.5%
+8.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing OTT at -102 (50.5% implied), we think they win 54.5% of the time.
Our Model
54.5%
win probability · fair odds -120
The Book
50.5%
implied · current odds -102

The Matchup

OTT logo OTT Stat DET DET logo
— Odds -102
45.5% Model Win % 54.5%
— Edge +8.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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