The Slip
Updated NHL · 2026-11-05
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
SJ logo
SJ
SJ
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
LA logo
LA
LA
The Pick
LA
Moneyline · -176
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+0.0pp
Model Win
63.8%
Fair Odds
-176
Kelly Stake
1.0u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 63.8%
Market Implied 63.8%
+0.0pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing LA at -176 (63.8% implied), we think they win 63.8% of the time.
Our Model
63.8%
win probability · fair odds -176
The Book
63.8%
implied · current odds -176

The Matchup

SJ logo SJ Stat LA LA logo
— Odds -176
36.2% Model Win % 63.8%
— Edge +0.0pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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