BookieSlip
Updated NHL · 2026-10-02
By · Updated · Source-attributed reasoning · Forward CLV measured
WAS logo
WAS
WAS
at
Tonight 7:00 PM ET
CAR logo
CAR
CAR
The Pick
WAS
Moneyline · +122
Confidence
LEAN
Edge
+2.1pp
Model Win
46.0%
Fair Odds
+117
Kelly Stake
0.1u

The Edge, Visualized

Our model's win probability vs. the market's implied probability. The gap is the edge.

Our Model 46.0%
Market Implied 45.0%
+2.1pp edge in our favor. The market is pricing WAS at +122 (45.0% implied), we think they win 46.0% of the time.
Our Model
46.0%
win probability · fair odds +117
The Book
45.0%
implied · current odds +122

The Matchup

WAS logo WAS Stat CAR CAR logo
— Odds +122
54.0% Model Win % 46.0%
— Edge +2.1pp

Anatomy of the Pick

Every factor that moved the model. Every number sourced — no hallucinations.

TL;DR

Why we like it

How this loses

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